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Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Wed Mar 24, 2010 4:40 pm
by Commish Bub(NYR)
A quick and simple look at the remaning playoff races...

[NOTE: Standings and games are current as of the afternoon of 3/24/2010]

EAST -- The race for 7th and 8th place:
7. Ottawa -- 74gp, 8 left, 79 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .550
Key games: 3/26 vs. BUF; 4/10 vs. BUF
8. Buffalo -- 71gp, 11 left, 79 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .549
Key games: 3/24 vs. MON; 3/26 vs. OTT; 4/3 vs. MON; 4/10 vs. OTT
9. Pittsburgh -- 73gp, 9 left, 78 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .513
Key games: five games vs. teams with losing records (TOR, 2xNYI, 2xATL)
10. Montreal -- 73gp, 9 left, 78 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .515
Key games: 3/24 vs. BUF; 4/3 vs. BUF

EAST -- The race for the Atlantic division:
1. Philadelphia -- 73gp, 9 left, 95 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .498 (lucky bastard)
Key games: 4/9 and 4/11 home-and-home vs. NYR
2. NY Rangers -- 72gp, 10 left, 93 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .490 (umm...but 7 are on the road!)
Key games: see above

EAST -- The race for the Southeast division:
1. Tampa Bay -- 73gp, 9 left, 102 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .565
Key games: 7 of 9 against teams with winning records
2. Washington -- 72gp, 10 left, 99 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .549
Key games: making hay against ATL (twice)


WEST -- The race for 7th and 8th places:
7. Nashville -- 74gp, 8 left, 79 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .547
Key games: All of them, finishing better than their 3-8-1 streak over their last 12
8. San Jose -- 73gp, 9 left, 76 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .495
Key games: 3/25 vs. DAL; 3/31 vs. DAL; 4/2 vs. MIN; 4/6 vs. CGY
9. Calgary -- 73gp, 9 left, 75 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .553
Key games: 4/6 vs. SJ; 4/8 vs. MIN
10. Minnesota -- 73gp, 9 left, 73 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .572
Key games: 4/2 vs. SJ; 4/8 vs. CGY; 4/10 vs. DAL
11. Dallas -- 73gp, 9 left, 72 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .542
Key games: 3/25 vs. SJ; 3/31 vs. SJ; 4/10 vs. MIN

WEST -- The race for the Central division:
1. Columbus -- 73gp, 9 left, 92 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .545
Key games: 3/25 and 3/28 vs. CHI
2. Chicago -- 72gp, 10 left, 89 pts -- remaining opponents win pct .490
Key games: 3/25 and 3/28 vs. CBS; closing out the season vs. STL, COL, and DET

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Wed Mar 24, 2010 5:26 pm
by SypherSens
Pitt vs Wash and Buffalo vs Montreal tonight. Should be epic.

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Wed Mar 24, 2010 6:10 pm
by Penguin
Yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeehaaaaaaaa

IN TOSKALA WE TRUST!


Ps. Nice read!

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Wed Mar 24, 2010 7:25 pm
by FlamesGM
Significantly tougher schedule down the stretch than San Jose. Kipper will have to stand tall and will need some key performances from the guys to bring us home in 8th... or Nashville can just fall apart and we both make it. I'm fine with that too. Dallas, you stay out! lol

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Thu Mar 25, 2010 1:52 am
by StarStruck
just keep bringin your fans to my games would you, did wonders in my last game against the Sharks...need some help again haha

Times runnin out and a loss would really sting after this huge run to get into striking distance.

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Thu Mar 25, 2010 12:06 pm
by HeyHeyHockeytown
No Detroit? :(

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Thu Mar 25, 2010 12:21 pm
by Virtual Jarmo
Now the front page story. I'll continue to update it as it gets updated here.

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Thu Mar 25, 2010 4:15 pm
by Commish Bub(NYR)
HeyHeyHockeytown wrote:No Detroit? :(
Well....I had to cut it off somewhere, and I decided not to include every team that was still mathematically alive. Use it as motivation and prove me wrong, :) , especially on 4/4 vs. Philly.

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Fri Mar 26, 2010 10:38 am
by Commish Bub(NYR)
Some more numbers; should've included these the first time around...

Record against the remainder of your schedule:
EAST
1. Tampa Bay (8 games) -- 13-8-0 [includes 0-5 vs. Carolina]
2. Boston (9) -- 15-5 [includes 1-3 vs. Buffalo]
3. NY Rangers (8) -- 14-4-2 [includes--gulp--4-0 vs. Philly]
4. Washington (8) -- 9-2-2
5. Carolina (8) -- 16-4-0 [includes 5-0 vs. TB]
6. Philadelphia (8) -- 13-9-3 [includes 1-3 vs. NJ and 0-3-1 vs. NYR]
7. Montreal (7) -- 14-6-1
8. Ottawa (8) -- 7-11-0 [includes 0-4 vs. Buffalo]
9. Buffalo (10) -- 16-10-4 [includes 4-0 vs. Ottawa]
10. Pittsburgh (8) -- 6-12-2

WEST
1. Los Angeles (9) -- 20-8-1
2. Columbus (8) -- 6-7-2 [includes 1-2 vs. Detroit]
3. Vancouver (8) -- 16-9-1 [includes 5-0 vs. Minny]
4. Phoenix (7) -- 17-7-2
5. Chicago (9) -- 21-6-0
6. Nashville (7) -- 6-7-2
7. Edmonton (9) -- 11-13-3 [includes 1-4 vs. Minny]
8. Calgary (8) -- 9-12-3 [includes 2-1 vs. San Jose; 1-4 vs. Minny]
9. San Jose (8) -- 8-10-2 [includes 1-3-1 vs. Dallas; 3-0 vs. Minny]
10. Minnesota (8) -- 12-17-1 [includes 0-3 vs. San Jose; 4-1 vs. Calgary]
11. Dallas (8) -- 14-9-3 [includes 4-1 vs. San Jose; 2-0-1 vs. Minny]
12. Anaheim (9) -- 10-9-0 80.47
13. Detroit (9) -- 8-8-2 [includes 1-4 vs. Chicago]
14. St. Louis (8) -- 9-11-2

So...
The West is a nightmare. Based on the above, if the to-date form holds, here are the projected* final standings:

* Total points = ((winning pct against remaining teams) x (games remaining x 2)) + current points. Decimal points left in to show closeness of some races.

EAST
1. Boston 114.5
2. Washington 114.31
3. NY Rangers 109.00
4. Tampa Bay 111.90
5. Carolina 107.80
6. Philadelphia 104.28
7. Montreal 91.67
8. Buffalo 91.00
9. Ottawa 85.22
10. Pittsburgh 83.60

WEST
1. Los Angeles 120.72
2. Chicago 103.00
3. Vancouver 99.15
4. Phoenix 107.69
5. Columbus 101.47
6. Edmonton 89.33
7. Nashville 87.53
8. Calgary 84.00
9. Dallas 83.54
10. San Jose 83.20
11. Minnesota 81.67
12. Detroit 78.00
13. St. Louis 77.18

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Fri Mar 26, 2010 12:54 pm
by Virtual Jarmo
Holy shit, I'm bad against my remaining opponents.

Chicago has owned me all year. At least I get Washington at home. I might get the EHM home team favoritism.

That 2 seed is critical for me. I want no part of Phoenix with home ice.

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Fri Mar 26, 2010 2:57 pm
by FlamesGM
So, I'm predicted to squeak in there it would seem. Obviously coming in at the 8th seed will be tough come playoffs, but crazy things happen. The West is absolutely insane though. Loving this playoff race.

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Fri Mar 26, 2010 2:57 pm
by StarStruck
Dammit, i am not going to miss the playoffs by 0.46 points haha...i've come way too far :P

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Fri Mar 26, 2010 3:36 pm
by Commish Bub(NYR)
StarStruck wrote:Dammit, i am not going to miss the playoffs by 0.46 points haha...i've come way too far :P
"Yes, yes, I know numbers don't lie!" -- Foghorn Leghorn
Image

Re: Playoff Breakdown

Posted: Wed Mar 31, 2010 12:04 pm
by Oilers_GM
can't believe how much i've dropped.