The Road to the Playoffs
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- Commish Bub(NYR)
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The Road to the Playoffs
Playoff status in the EHEC as of 3/4/11. Below are the team's current standing in each conference, games remaining, record against remaining opponents, and any critical games remaining. (I know, I know...they're all critical.) Judge for yourself how things will shake out...
EAST
1. CAR -- 17 left, 18-5-1 (.771), 1 game vs. WSH, 3 vs. TB
2. BOS -- 18 left, 19-12-2 (.606), 1 game vs. PIT, 2 vs. NYR
3. PIT -- 17 left, 24-13-1 (.645), 1 each vs. BOS, NYR, TB, 2 vs. PHI
4. TB -- 18 left, 22-8-1 (.726), 1 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CAR
5. NYR -- 16 left, 24-7-1 (.766), 1 vs. PIT, 2 each vs. PHI, BOS
6. WSH -- 17 left, 19-10-0 (.655), 1 each vs. TB, PHI
7. PHI -- 19 left, 21-14-6 (.585), 1 vs. WSH, 2 vs. BUF
8. BUF -- 19 left, 20-18-7 (.522), 1 vs. MTL, 2 vs. PHI
9. MTL -- 17 left, 16-15-7 (.513), 1 vs. BUF
So if the percentages stay the same, here are the projected final point totals for the top nine in the East:
1. CAR -- 117
2. BOS -- 109
3. NYR -- 109
4. TB -- 115
5. PIT -- 108
6. WSH -- 106
7. PHI -- 98
8. BUF -- 90
9. MTL -- 86
WEST
1. SJ -- 17 left, 21-7-0 (.750), 1 each vs. STL, CGY, 3 vs. PHX
2. STL -- 18 left, 27-9-4 (.725), 1 each vs. SJ, CGY, 3 vs. CBS
3. CGY -- 16 left, 22-9-3 (.662), 1 each vs. CBS, STL, SJ
4. PHX -- 16 left, 23-13-4 (.625), 1 vs. CGY, 3 vs. SJ
5. CBS -- 19 left, 28-10-4 (.714), 1 vs. PHX, 3 vs. STL
6. LA -- 18 left, 22-11-5 (.645), 1 vs. EDM, 3 vs. DAL
7. DAL -- 19 left, 17-14-3 (.544), 1 vs. CHI, 3 vs. LA
8. CHI -- 18 left, 14-8-3 (.620), 1 vs. DAL
9. EDM -- 17 left, 17-9-3 (.638), 1 vs. LA, 6 vs. bottom 3 in West
Projected point totals:
1. SJ -- 115
2. STL -- 112
3. CGY -- 106
4. CBS -- 108
5. PHX -- 109
6. LA -- 101
7. CHI -- 98
8. DAL -- 98
9. EDM -- 98
Of course the fly in this soup is that each team has several games with opponents they haven't yet faced this season. But this is still fun to look at, especially in the West. Take it for what it's worth.
EAST
1. CAR -- 17 left, 18-5-1 (.771), 1 game vs. WSH, 3 vs. TB
2. BOS -- 18 left, 19-12-2 (.606), 1 game vs. PIT, 2 vs. NYR
3. PIT -- 17 left, 24-13-1 (.645), 1 each vs. BOS, NYR, TB, 2 vs. PHI
4. TB -- 18 left, 22-8-1 (.726), 1 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CAR
5. NYR -- 16 left, 24-7-1 (.766), 1 vs. PIT, 2 each vs. PHI, BOS
6. WSH -- 17 left, 19-10-0 (.655), 1 each vs. TB, PHI
7. PHI -- 19 left, 21-14-6 (.585), 1 vs. WSH, 2 vs. BUF
8. BUF -- 19 left, 20-18-7 (.522), 1 vs. MTL, 2 vs. PHI
9. MTL -- 17 left, 16-15-7 (.513), 1 vs. BUF
So if the percentages stay the same, here are the projected final point totals for the top nine in the East:
1. CAR -- 117
2. BOS -- 109
3. NYR -- 109
4. TB -- 115
5. PIT -- 108
6. WSH -- 106
7. PHI -- 98
8. BUF -- 90
9. MTL -- 86
WEST
1. SJ -- 17 left, 21-7-0 (.750), 1 each vs. STL, CGY, 3 vs. PHX
2. STL -- 18 left, 27-9-4 (.725), 1 each vs. SJ, CGY, 3 vs. CBS
3. CGY -- 16 left, 22-9-3 (.662), 1 each vs. CBS, STL, SJ
4. PHX -- 16 left, 23-13-4 (.625), 1 vs. CGY, 3 vs. SJ
5. CBS -- 19 left, 28-10-4 (.714), 1 vs. PHX, 3 vs. STL
6. LA -- 18 left, 22-11-5 (.645), 1 vs. EDM, 3 vs. DAL
7. DAL -- 19 left, 17-14-3 (.544), 1 vs. CHI, 3 vs. LA
8. CHI -- 18 left, 14-8-3 (.620), 1 vs. DAL
9. EDM -- 17 left, 17-9-3 (.638), 1 vs. LA, 6 vs. bottom 3 in West
Projected point totals:
1. SJ -- 115
2. STL -- 112
3. CGY -- 106
4. CBS -- 108
5. PHX -- 109
6. LA -- 101
7. CHI -- 98
8. DAL -- 98
9. EDM -- 98
Of course the fly in this soup is that each team has several games with opponents they haven't yet faced this season. But this is still fun to look at, especially in the West. Take it for what it's worth.
Last edited by Commish Bub(NYR) on Sat Mar 05, 2011 10:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
- Virtual Jarmo
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Re: The Road to the Playoffs
Good stuff Pat. Real good stuff.
I dread a first round matchup with anybody in my conference, let alone Phoenix. Shane Doan's too much of an animal.
I'm only going to get 14 points out of my last 19 games? That seems terrible.
I dread a first round matchup with anybody in my conference, let alone Phoenix. Shane Doan's too much of an animal.
I'm only going to get 14 points out of my last 19 games? That seems terrible.
Adam Burke
Former Commissioner, Current Jackets GM and Owner of Eastside's Hockey Elite Collide
Former Commissioner, Current Jackets GM and Owner of Eastside's Hockey Elite Collide
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Re: The Road to the Playoffs
Wow, didn't know I had 3 left against CAR. Those are going to be huge games.
Most recent file here.
Re: The Road to the Playoffs
He can't do it all by himself though. Despite icing the most talented defense in the league, nobody is really stepping into the role of go-to guy the way Jovanovski did last year. Brygalov was a fucking sieve in the playoffs last year, but I'd almost rather lose with Bryzgalov in net than win with Auld. If Bryzgalov can't win in the playoffs I don't know why I'm paying him fucking $5M a season.Commissioner (CBJ) wrote:I dread a first round matchup with anybody in my conference, let alone Phoenix. Shane Doan's too much of an animal.
We're in the middle of what is becoming a yearly trend of leading the league for a couple weeks in February, and then collapsing in March. The last ten games have been pretty ugly, and at this rate it's possible we don't even hang on to the 4th seed.
Awesome work as usual, Bub!
- SharksGM
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Re: The Road to the Playoffs
I think you forgot to multiply the projected win % by 2 points to get the final point total, because 90 points + .750*17 games*2points = 115 points total for me, not 104.
Re: The Road to the Playoffs
So I'll go 5-11-1 for the remainder of the season? I don't deserve to make the playoffs playing like that...
- Commish Bub(NYR)
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Re: The Road to the Playoffs
Ah, bugger. Corrected the projected totals. There is some movement after all!
- Virtual Jarmo
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Re: The Road to the Playoffs
Six teams over 100 points in each conference. The West may be like that IRL, but definitely not the East. Crazy stuff.
Adam Burke
Former Commissioner, Current Jackets GM and Owner of Eastside's Hockey Elite Collide
Former Commissioner, Current Jackets GM and Owner of Eastside's Hockey Elite Collide
- Commish Bub(NYR)
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Re: The Road to the Playoffs
UPDATE:
Since I posted standings/predictions on March 4, let's see how the various teams are doing in the run to the playoffs. Below is a look at each team's record since March 4.
EAST: (including games through 3/15)
1. TB -- 5-1-0 (.833)
2. PIT -- 4-0-1 (.900)
3. BOS -- 3-2-0 (.600)
4. CAR -- 2-1-1 (.625)
5. NYR -- 3-1-0 (.750)
6. WSH -- 4-2-0 (.667)
7. PHI -- 4-1-1 (.750)
8. BUF -- 3-4-0 (.429)
9. MTL -- 1-4-0 (.200)
WEST:
1. SJ -- 5-0-1 (.917)
2. STL -- 3-2-0 (.600)
3. CGY -- 2-3-0 (.400)
4. PHX -- 4-1-0 (.800)
5. CBS -- 3-2-0 (.600)
6. CHI -- 4-0-1 (.900)
7. LA -- 3-3-0 (.500)
8. DAL -- 3-3-0 (.500)
9. NAS -- 3-2-0 (.600)
10. VAN -- 3-3-0 (.500)
11. EDM -- 0-5-0 (.000)
Since I posted standings/predictions on March 4, let's see how the various teams are doing in the run to the playoffs. Below is a look at each team's record since March 4.
EAST: (including games through 3/15)
1. TB -- 5-1-0 (.833)
2. PIT -- 4-0-1 (.900)
3. BOS -- 3-2-0 (.600)
4. CAR -- 2-1-1 (.625)
5. NYR -- 3-1-0 (.750)
6. WSH -- 4-2-0 (.667)
7. PHI -- 4-1-1 (.750)
8. BUF -- 3-4-0 (.429)
9. MTL -- 1-4-0 (.200)
WEST:
1. SJ -- 5-0-1 (.917)
2. STL -- 3-2-0 (.600)
3. CGY -- 2-3-0 (.400)
4. PHX -- 4-1-0 (.800)
5. CBS -- 3-2-0 (.600)
6. CHI -- 4-0-1 (.900)
7. LA -- 3-3-0 (.500)
8. DAL -- 3-3-0 (.500)
9. NAS -- 3-2-0 (.600)
10. VAN -- 3-3-0 (.500)
11. EDM -- 0-5-0 (.000)
- Virtual Jarmo
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Re: The Road to the Playoffs
Keeping pace! Thinking I'd be better off to let Femur face PHX. Especially when you consider that if Doan and Nash had to play an entire series together, EHM might explode.
Adam Burke
Former Commissioner, Current Jackets GM and Owner of Eastside's Hockey Elite Collide
Former Commissioner, Current Jackets GM and Owner of Eastside's Hockey Elite Collide
Re: The Road to the Playoffs
2nd worst team in the league since just after the trade deadline, perfect.
If only they shared these feelings of playing like shit with me before trying to help them out with Hemsky.
If only they shared these feelings of playing like shit with me before trying to help them out with Hemsky.
- Virtual Jarmo
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Re: The Road to the Playoffs
At least that 2nd rounder you acquired keeps getting better and better!Montreal Canadiens wrote:2nd worst team in the league since just after the trade deadline, perfect.
If only they shared these feelings of playing like shit with me before trying to help them out with Hemsky.
Adam Burke
Former Commissioner, Current Jackets GM and Owner of Eastside's Hockey Elite Collide
Former Commissioner, Current Jackets GM and Owner of Eastside's Hockey Elite Collide